Budgetary incrementalism in Mexico: An analysis of budget programs of the Federal National Budget 2010-2015

Abstract

In this article we analyze the budget programs of 43 departments of the Federal National Budget (Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación, PEF) in Mexico in 2010-2015. The purpose is to know more about public policy by department in our country by the analysis of budgetary inertia. The above is carried out by three approaches. 1. Identification of the number of new programs generated by each department annually. 2. Analysis of the budget allocated to these new programs each year. 3. The total budget change per year by year based on the Le Loup and Moreland criteria (1978). Among the aspects to be highlighted, the five most important are: The most incremental departments are also those that concentrate the most important part of the budget in Mexico; secondly, the inertia observed in the health budget, especially in the IMSS, ISSSTE and Contributions to Social Security; third, the inertia observed in the budget of direct control entities and state enterprises; fourth, the innovation observed in the budget areas related to education, environment and territory; and finally, the absence of a redesign of the budget programs of the departments linked to results of evaluation and satisfaction of the users with the services.